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<TITLE>IMA NHS&B lecture "Using the Bayesian Approach for Simple Binomial Problems" Farnborough 23 Sept 2008</TITLE>
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<P><FONT COLOR="#0000FF" SIZE=2 FACE="Arial">Dear Colleague,</FONT>
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<P><FONT COLOR="#0000FF" SIZE=2 FACE="Arial">You are being sent this message because either you gave your email address at one of our previous IET EC3 lectures or you signed up on the web site associated with this email list:</FONT></P>
<P><A HREF="http://www.ourshack.com/mailman/listinfo/iee-ec3-news"><U></U><U><FONT COLOR="#0000FF" SIZE=2 FACE="Arial">http://www.ourshack.com/mailman/listinfo/iee-ec3-news</FONT></U></A>
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<P><FONT COLOR="#0000FF" SIZE=2 FACE="Arial">I have appended the details of a lecture by your local branch of the IMA which may interest you. </FONT>
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<P><FONT COLOR="#0000FF" SIZE=2 FACE="Arial">Best wishes,</FONT>
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<P><FONT COLOR="#0000FF" SIZE=2 FACE="Arial">Edward Stansfield</FONT>
<BR><FONT COLOR="#0000FF" SIZE=2 FACE="Arial">IET Thames Valley Specialised Section</FONT>
<BR><FONT COLOR="#0000FF" SIZE=2 FACE="Arial">IMA</FONT> <FONT COLOR="#0000FF" SIZE=2 FACE="Arial">N. Hants, Surrey and Berkshire Branch</FONT>
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<P><FONT COLOR="#000000" SIZE=2 FACE="Arial">=========================</FONT>
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<P><FONT COLOR="#000000" SIZE=2 FACE="Arial">THE INSTITUTE OF MATHEMATICS AND ITS APPLICATIONS</FONT>
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<P><FONT COLOR="#000000" SIZE=2 FACE="Arial">invites you to a talk by Paul Earwicker FIMA (Dstl) about</FONT>
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<P><B><FONT COLOR="#FF0000" FACE="Arial">"Using the Bayesian Approach for Simple Binomial Problems"</FONT></B>
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<P><FONT COLOR="#000000" SIZE=2 FACE="Arial">At Rooms 3 - 5, BAES Park Centre, Farnborough on Tuesday 23<SUP>rd</SUP> September 2008 at 8pm</FONT>
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<P><FONT COLOR="#000000" SIZE=2 FACE="Arial">Light Refreshments will be provided</FONT>
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<P><FONT COLOR="#000000" SIZE=2 FACE="Arial">Abstract</FONT>
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<P><FONT COLOR="#000000" SIZE=2 FACE="Arial">The talk will discuss learning from binomial data. Topics will include: </FONT>
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<UL><LI><FONT COLOR="#000000" SIZE=2 FACE="Arial">Confidence intervals for the binomial parameter and Poisson mean; </FONT></LI>
<LI><FONT COLOR="#000000" SIZE=2 FACE="Arial">Calculating the probability that one binomial parameter is less that another using Altham's formula;</FONT></LI>
<LI><FONT COLOR="#000000" SIZE=2 FACE="Arial">The multinomial density and its relation to the Dirichlet density.</FONT></LI>
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<P><FONT COLOR="#000000" SIZE=2 FACE="Arial">All N. Hants, Surrey and Berkshire Branch talks are open and free of charge to anyone who is interested.</FONT>
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<P><FONT COLOR="#000000" SIZE=2 FACE="Arial">Details</FONT>
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<P><FONT COLOR="#000000" SIZE=2 FACE="Arial">Rooms 3 - 5, BAES Park Centre, Farnborough, Hants, GU14 6YU. Detailed directions will be made available on the branch website closer to the event.</FONT></P>
<P><FONT COLOR="#000000" SIZE=2 FACE="Arial">If you expect to attend please inform the Branch Membership Secretary, Ann Steptoe at<U> </U></FONT><A HREF="mailto:acsteptoe@dstl.gov.uk?subject=IMA"><U><FONT COLOR="#000000" SIZE=2 FACE="Arial">acsteptoe@dstl.gov.uk</FONT></U><U></U></A><U></U><FONT COLOR="#000000" SIZE=2 FACE="Arial"> </FONT>
<BR><FONT COLOR="#000000" SIZE=2 FACE="Arial">or tel. 01252 455283 (work), as this will help with the catering arrangements. </FONT>
<BR><FONT COLOR="#000000" SIZE=2 FACE="Arial">However, if you don't get round to doing this, feel free to just turn up. </FONT>
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<P><FONT COLOR="#000000" SIZE=2 FACE="Arial">For details of other N. Hants, Surrey and Berkshire Branch activities visit</FONT> <A HREF="http://www.north-hants-ima.ukscientists.com/"><U></U><U><FONT COLOR="#0000FF" SIZE=2 FACE="Arial">http://www.north-hants-ima.ukscientists.com/</FONT></U></A><FONT COLOR="#000000" SIZE=2 FACE="Arial"> </FONT></P>
<P><FONT COLOR="#000000" SIZE=2 FACE="Arial">or contact the Branch Secretary: Chris Freshwater at<U> </U></FONT><A HREF="mailto:cdfreshwater@dstl.gov.uk?subject=IMA"><U><FONT COLOR="#000000" SIZE=2 FACE="Arial">cdfreshwater@dstl.gov.uk</FONT></U><U></U></A><U></U><FONT COLOR="#000000" SIZE=2 FACE="Arial">, Tel: (01252) 45 5225 (work)</FONT>
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